What it means
After a bullish break of structure, the swing low that launched the break is the protected low: if it holds, the uptrend holds. The new high is the weak high: it is likely to be exceeded if the trend continues.
In a downtrend it is the mirror image: the protected high defends the trend and the new low is the weak low.
Why traders use it
The labels tell you where the trend is defended and where it is likely to go. Stops belong beyond the protected swing; targets often sit at or beyond the weak swing.
They also stop you from treating every swing the same: losing a weak high is normal, losing a protected low changes structure.
Chart examples
Bullish: protected low, weak high
Bearish: protected high, weak low
How to identify it objectively
- 1Wait for a BOS with a candle close.
- 2The swing that started the breaking move is protected.
- 3The extreme made by the breaking move is weak until a new BOS happens.
- 4Update the labels after every new BOS.
Bullish use
- 1Bullish BOS creates a protected low below.
- 2The new high is weak and is a natural target.
- 3A close below the protected low cancels the bullish structure.
Bearish use
- 1Bearish BOS creates a protected high above.
- 2The new low is weak and a natural target.
- 3A close above the protected high cancels the bearish structure.
What confirms it
- The BOS that created the labels closed beyond the swing.
- Pullbacks hold above the protected low (or below the protected high).
What invalidates it
- A close beyond the protected swing.
- The labels were assigned before the BOS closed.
How a hypothetical setup is built
Entry
Buy a pullback in a bullish structure that holds above the protected low and closes back up.
Stop
Below the protected low.
Target
The weak high.
A hypothetical illustration of how the concept is turned into a plan, not a recommendation. Practise it on a paper account first.
Related concepts
- Market StructureBreak of Structure (BOS)
- LiquidityDraw on Liquidity (DOL)
- Fair Value Gaps & Order BlocksPremium, Discount and Equilibrium
Historical testing
Not tested on The Tradeskill yet. It is mainly a framework for stop and target placement; test it as part of a full entry rule.
Limitations: when it fails
- Protected lows are not guaranteed to hold.
- In fast markets the protected swing can be far away, making the stop large.
- Labels change after every BOS, so they must be kept up to date.
Knowledge check
Pick an answer to see the explanation. Nothing is saved.