Lesson 8 of 153 min read

Displacement and Candle-Close Confirmation

A level being touched tells you little. A strong candle that closes decisively away from it, compared with how much the market normally moves, tells you much more. And it only counts once the candle has closed.

For educational purposes only. This playbook explains a rule-based way to study price action. It is not financial advice, not a trading signal and not a promise of any result. No setup in it is guaranteed to work; practise it on a paper trading account first.

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What displacement means

Displacement is a candle with a body that is large compared with recent volatility, moving decisively in one direction. The playbook measures it with the Average True Range (ATR) over the last 14 candles: a candle counts as displacement when its body is at least k × ATR, with k = 1.0 by default. Raising k demands stronger moves and produces fewer setups.

Displacement against ATR

Small, overlapping candlesDisplacementBodyATRBody ≥ k × ATRk = 1.0 (default)
Displacement is a body that is large compared with recent volatility, not just a coloured candle.

Why only closed candles count

While a candle is forming, its body, high and low can all change. A setup built on a forming candle can appear and then disappear, which is called repainting. In historical testing it also lets information leak from the future, called look-ahead bias, so results look better than they would have been live.

For this reason every rule in the playbook reads closed candles only. Alerts and backtests use confirmed data, unless you deliberately choose intrabar behaviour and your data source supports it. When a result depends on a candle that has not closed, it is labelled provisional.

Displacement seen on 5 minutes

Gold 5-minute chart on 2026-09-07 showing the displacement candle after a sweep of the Asia low
Gold on 2026-09-07, 5-minute candles around the bullish sweep from lesson 6. The 15-minute reclaim candle had a body of 5.98 against an ATR of 5.58, so it counted as displacement. Source: real PAXG/USDT 5m candles from Binance (tokenised gold, the feed behind XAU-USD on The Tradeskill), times in UTC. Picked by the lesson rule as the most recent match, without looking at what happened next.

Displacement on the lower timeframe

On a 15-minute chart one candle can contain a sharp 5-minute move. Dropping to 5 minutes or 1 minute lets you see the displacement form and, if you choose, use a lower-timeframe structure break as the confirmation instead. A single 1-minute wick on its own is never enough.

Bullish example

  1. 1After a reclaim of the swept low, look for a green candle whose body is at least 1× ATR(14).
  2. 2Wait for that candle to close.
  3. 3Alternatively, wait for a 5-minute close above the last lower-timeframe swing high.
  4. 4Only then mark displacement confirmed.

Bearish example

  1. 1After a reclaim back below the swept high, look for a red candle with a body of at least 1× ATR(14).
  2. 2Wait for the close.
  3. 3Or wait for a 5-minute close below the last lower-timeframe swing low.
  4. 4Then mark displacement confirmed.

What confirms it?

  • A closed candle with body ≥ k × ATR in the setup direction.
  • Or a closed lower-timeframe break of the last opposing swing.
  • It happens within the displacement window after the reclaim or break.

What invalidates it?

  • The large candle shrinks back before it closes.
  • Displacement arrives after the window has expired.
  • The candle is large but in the wrong direction.

Common mistakes

  • Judging displacement while the candle is still open.
  • Using a fixed number of points instead of a volatility-relative measure.
  • Treating a long wick as displacement; the body is what counts.
  • Backtesting with intrabar highs and lows when live trading would only see closes.

Replay exercise

  1. In replay, add an ATR(14) reading or estimate it from the last 14 candle ranges.
  2. Step through a London session and flag every candle with a body ≥ 1× ATR.
  3. Check how many of them came right after a sweep reclaim or a breakout close.

Quick quiz

Pick an answer to see the explanation. Nothing is saved.

ATR(14) is 6.0. Which closed candle body counts as displacement with k = 1.0?

1. ATR(14) is 6.0. Which closed candle body counts as displacement with k = 1.0?

Why does the playbook avoid unclosed candles in backtests?

2. Why does the playbook avoid unclosed candles in backtests?

Is a single 1-minute wick enough to confirm an entry?

3. Is a single 1-minute wick enough to confirm an entry?